AN
AMES NATIONAL CORP (ATLO)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 EPS was $0.39 and net income was $3.5M, up 62% YoY on higher loan interest income and a credit loss benefit; net interest margin expanded to 2.38% (vs. 2.15% in Q4 2023 and 2.21% in Q3 2024) .
- Management guided FY2025 EPS to $1.72–$1.82, citing margin tailwinds from repricing lower-yielding investments and loans; share repurchases continued into January and a $0.20 dividend was declared in November 2024 .
- Efficiency improved sequentially in Q4 (71.47% vs. 77.87% in Q3), while noninterest expense rose 5% YoY on salaries/benefits; substandard and substandard-impaired loans increased YoY on commercial real estate softness .
- Consensus estimates (EPS and revenue) from S&P Global were unavailable at time of writing due to request limits; results cannot be benchmarked vs. street for Q4 2024.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Net interest income grew 10.5% YoY to $12.1M and net interest margin expanded to 2.38%, driven by higher loan yields and portfolio growth; deposits repriced but were offset by investment maturities funding lower-cost balance sheet actions .
- Credit loss swung to a benefit of ($130)K vs. a $755K expense YoY, reflecting reductions in specific reserves and lower off-balance-sheet exposures; net charge-offs were $447K vs. $36K YoY .
- Management tone on 2025 earnings: “The Company is forecasting earnings for the year ending December 31, 2025 in the range of $1.72 to $1.82 per share… primarily due to an improved net interest margin as lower yielding investments and loans are expected to reprice at higher market rates.” .
What Went Wrong
- Substandard loans rose to $35.5M from $18.4M YoY, with substandard-impaired at $14.2M vs. $13.2M, driven by weakening in commercial real estate occupancy and collateral values .
- Noninterest expense increased 5.2% YoY to $10.5M on higher salaries/benefits; efficiency ratio, while improved vs. Q3, remained elevated relative to year-ago levels .
- Deposit mix continued shifting to higher-rate products, lifting deposit interest expense by $0.7M YoY and sustaining funding cost pressure despite reductions in other borrowings .
Financial Results
KPIs and Balance Sheet Indicators
Notes:
- Substandard/Impaired loans are presented as year-end snapshot metrics (no Q3 presentation in Q4 press release) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No earnings call transcript was found for Q4 2024. Themes below are synthesized from the Q2/Q3 10-Qs and Q4 press release.
Management Commentary
- “The increase in earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024 is primarily due to an increase in loan interest income and lower credit loss expense.”
- “Proceeds from maturing lower yielding investments have also been used to pay down higher cost borrowing and fund loan growth.”
- “The Company is forecasting earnings for the year ending December 31, 2025 in the range of $1.72 to $1.82 per share… primarily due to an improved net interest margin as lower yielding investments and loans are expected to reprice at higher market rates.”
Q&A Highlights
No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available; therefore, no Q&A themes or clarifications could be extracted.
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue (S&P Global Capital IQ) for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to request limits at time of analysis. As a result, we cannot determine a beat/miss versus consensus for EPS or revenue for this quarter.
- Expect estimate revisions to reflect: (1) stronger-than-expected margin expansion in Q4 and management’s FY2025 EPS range ($1.72–$1.82), and (2) CRE risk disclosures and rising substandard balances potentially tempering credit-cost assumptions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin expansion is taking hold: NIM reached 2.38% and management expects further improvement as lower-yield assets reprice; this is a key near-term earnings driver .
- Credit quality requires monitoring: Substandard and substandard-impaired loans increased YoY on CRE softness (occupancy and collateral valuations); watch for provisioning trends and charge-offs in 2025 .
- Funding costs remain a headwind: Deposit mix continues shifting to higher-rate products; while other borrowings fell, deposit repricing will influence NIM trajectory .
- Capital returns in focus: Active share repurchases (76,610 shares cumulatively through Jan 24, 2025) and a $0.20 quarterly dividend provide support; note the change to declare/pay in same quarter and Q2 2025 dividend decision deferral .
- Efficiency improved sequentially; continued expense discipline (post consultant fees in 2024) could enhance operating leverage if margin tailwinds persist .
- Wealth management momentum (AUM growth/new relationships) is adding to diversified fee income and partially offsets rate-driven net interest dynamics .
- Near-term trading implications: Positive sentiment from FY2025 EPS range and NIM guidance, tempered by CRE risk disclosures; absence of consensus benchmarking limits immediate beat/miss narratives .